Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 13.962387 15.839315 17.823702 20.072773 22.545688 25.176479 28.181409
2025-02-09 11.456426 14.084842 17.040163 20.588346 24.710702 29.326971 34.864020
2025-02-16 9.267818 12.292068 15.892478 20.446363 26.000498 32.500712 40.625341
2025-02-23 7.439054 10.620519 14.620856 19.932570 26.704247 34.947743 45.629822
2025-03-02 6.101925 9.346924 13.642706 19.607690 27.521707 37.497257 50.835845
2025-03-09 5.169466 8.459291 13.026843 19.631420 28.710148 40.507336 56.713804
2025-03-16 4.337656 7.579640 12.295845 19.386006 29.463762 42.934799 61.905474
2025-03-23 3.964468 7.322232 12.400644 20.282500 31.791713 47.526241 70.121123
2025-03-30 3.482200 6.817558 12.070238 20.492486 33.129641 50.797851 76.662769
2025-04-06 2.891633 6.040940 11.225929 19.837251 33.137238 52.175572 80.610519
2025-04-13 2.373278 5.302913 10.350159 19.033703 32.833957 53.047977 83.829316
2025-04-20 2.198201 5.163079 10.443752 19.763036 34.878040 57.379584 92.111246
2025-04-27 2.180341 5.332931 11.100072 21.485706 38.602043 64.407444 104.659308
2025-05-04 2.046488 5.252962 11.306503 22.467790 41.205680 69.868675 115.116513
2025-05-11 1.808857 4.920406 11.018996 22.578366 42.405333 73.244858 122.599676
2025-05-18 1.541638 4.475478 10.469067 22.176566 42.726669 75.265225 128.099523
2025-05-25 1.327244 4.108279 10.023079 21.914096 43.246691 77.591971 134.116439
2025-06-01 1.175201 3.859169 9.780279 21.994975 44.335942 80.835308 141.615588
2025-06-08 1.014954 3.556368 9.389497 21.758435 44.847846 83.152844 147.725444
2025-06-15 0.971391 3.553259 9.634878 22.762269 47.590005 89.182798 159.843289
2025-06-22 0.875029 3.385716 9.501063 23.004849 48.971219 93.009680 168.555793
2025-06-29 0.727896 3.037263 8.917209 22.292305 48.567688 93.838165 172.465876
2025-07-06 0.593201 2.688238 8.282532 21.413096 47.790851 93.984862 175.244852